Forget the Bottom - Where's the Top? 
Christine Hamilton - November 2008 Edition

IN THE RETAILING SECTOR, HORRIFIC PROJECTIONS FOR HOLIDAY SHOPPING and plummeting consumer confidence are causing many analysts to ask, "where's the bottom?" - in other words, how bad could this picture get? We all agree that the bottom hasn't been glimpsed yet, and that there are near-term issues that every retailer - in every sector of the industry - is going have to work through. But longer-term, my team is beginning to look at the potential of the top in 2010-2011, and we're not finding much positive news. In Aristeia's latest FutureCast™, we look at the recovery curve from the Credit Crunch of 2008 and provide insight, guidance, and long-range planning tools for retailers looking to build a sustainable, defensible business model for the next decade. Unfortunately, that process must begin with the dissolution of some long-held notions of economic recovery and growth in a post-recessionary environment. Unlike the previous two modern-era recessions - 2001-2003 and, prior to that, 1990-1992 - the path out of the current recession has a very different trajectory and ends in a very different steady-state economy. (clients, read more here)
 

Who We Are

Aristeia is a 'think tank' of interdisciplinary knowledge specialists representing fields as diverse as anthropology, mathematics, statistics, economics, financial theory, marketing, law, and more. Our team of Vertical Market Specialists (VMS) bring together centuries of collected experience at the executive level in industries including technology, telecommunications, healthcare, financial services, government, retail and consumer goods, travel and hospitality, and wholesaling and channel design.

What We Do

Aristeia provides Fortune 1000 firms with advanced solutions to business problems using a cross-disciplinary approach involving the fields of mathematics, statistics, anthropology, and business theory. We use cutting-edge combinations of proven business experience and new thinking to break out of the traditional solution delivery arena and provide a very different - and highly effective - suite of professional services.